November 29, 2022
FIFA World Cup

Argentina is still the bookmakers’ favorite to win the FIFA World Cup in 2022, despite a 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia on November 22. Even if Saudi Arabia’s triumph is stunning, it has little impact on Argentina’s chances of winning the tournament.

Argentina fans can still be optimistic because the defending champions lost their first match against Cameroon in 1990. Argentina reached the finals that year, led by Diego Maradona.

Lionel Messi’s team has a chance to go to the knockout stages. Argentina’s chances have improved following the goalless draw between Poland and Mexico. However, it will be subject to a number of conditions. Let us investigate.

1st Scenario

Argentina’s next two games are against Poland and Mexico. Saudi Arabia is defeated in the remaining games. In such a situation, Argentina will lead the group with six points, while Saudi Arabia will finish last with three. Poland and Mexico will tie for second place, each with four points. Argentina will advance to the knockout rounds.

2nd Scenario

Argentina will win one of its last two games and lose the other. Messi wouldn’t have much of a chance of qualifying if he lost twice because either Poland or Mexico (the team that beat Argentina) will have four points and qualify. Even if one of their next two games ends in a tie, Saudi Arabia is likely to move on to the next round.

3rd Scenario

Argentina wins one of the two remaining matches, while the other is a tie. The Latin American squad will end up with four points. Poland or Mexico (the one that drew with Argentina) can also force a draw with Saudi Arabia.

If the Saudis lose their third match, they will be on four points as well. And the squad that defeats Saudi Arabia will very certainly have four points as well. In that instance, the goal differential will determine who wins.

4th Scenario

Argentina doesn’t win either of the last two games. Messi probably can’t qualify, no matter what happens with the other teams.

If Argentina ends up in second place in Group C, it will have to work harder to win its third World Cup. In the round of 16, it might play the current champion, France. In the round of 16 at the 2018 World Cup in Russia, France beat Argentina 4-3.

But if Brazil comes in first in their group and Argentina comes in second in Group C, a Brazil-Argentina final could still happen, which is a dream matchup for millions of Indian fans.

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